|Raila Odinga flanked by CORD party members. Photo Credit, Nation Media.|
My Luo friend says that if the Supreme Court does not rule correctly, the Luo may secede from Kenya!
My Masai friend says "the CEO and Chairman of IEBC got bribed and were threatened if they refused to take the bribe."
I am really struggling with their version. I am struggling because if it is true, everything I thought I saw is a sham. I am also struggling because I just do not want to believe things can go this wrong, this fast.
I am not going to rely on rumours. Going back to a technical level, here is my logic.
- Lets assume that the vote was valid at the polling station level. I think it was, because at the five polling stations I was at all political party agents had to agree on the vote.
- Let's assume the vote was valid at the constituency level. I think it was, because agents and politicians were there, and scores of observers, and it is quite a trick to get 10 presiding officers to tamper with the vote in full view of the media, observers, political party agents (hundreds) and the candidates themselves.
- Then, at that point, you have to demonstrate that a sufficient number of votes were tampered between the constituency level and Bomas to really turn the election. Remember that there were 290 constituencies.
Here is the preliminary EU report EU election observer mission to Kenya
Here is the ELOG report Elections Observer Group
I am just going to hang tight and see what the Kenyan Supreme Court has to say.